Friday, November 6, 2009

PAKISTAN: POLITICAL ECONOMY AND POST-2000 DEVELOPMENTS----6

However, it was Bhutto’s resistance to renewed superpower pressure that more probably led to
his downfall, and eventual execution. With a new military partner, General Zia-ul-Haq, in place
by 1977, the efforts to destabilize Afghan neutrality led to the Soviet military invasion in 1979.
The subsequent ‘jihad’ in Afghanistan through American sponsored armed resistance, and its
related induction of an Islamic ‘ideology’ for Pakistan through military fiat and newly arisen
religious ‘fundamentalism’, has made it more problematical for an impoverished people to
normalize their economic and political environment. The price of a freedom with no bloodletting
for eastern Europe and the ex-Soviet republics was paid with over a million dead in Afghanistan,
and with Pakistan awash with drugs, arms and religious militancy, apart from the burden of
sustaining over three million refugees. While Pakistan’s growth rate of around 6% in the 1980s
was the highest in a painfully slow growing south Asian region, much of this was induced by
workers remittances and foreign loans, rather than enhancements in industrial productivity or
any significant diversification away from the focus on cotton textiles.
With the anti-Soviet agenda achieved, the intensity of geo-strategic attention on Pakistan
waned. After Zia’s timely demise in an air crash in 1988, Pakistan returned for the next decade
to civilian governments. None of the four governments in this period, two each of Benazir Bhutto
and Nawaz Sharif, were allowed to complete their tenures, till military rule was again
reestablished in 1999. Coincidentally, the return to a compliant military regime was followed by
another war in Afghanistan two years later. Significantly, from being one of the largest
programmes in the 1980s, United States foreign assistance was virtually eliminated in the
period of civilian democracy in the 1990s. Pakistan even suffered sanctions after it conducted a
nuclear test in response to India’s in 1998.
This period witnessed an economic downturn, in which the growth rate for once went below that
of India, and both fiscal deficits and foreign debt rose to unsustainable levels. Political
uncertainty discouraged investment, while rapid population expansion virtually negated real

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