Friday, November 6, 2009

PAKISTAN: POLITICAL ECONOMY AND POST-2000 DEVELOPMENTS---7

the overall growth rate, which stagnated at around 4%. A drought also affected agricultural
performance at this time, accompanied by emerging scarcities in irrigation resources and the
failure to develop any major hydro-electrical projects.
Efforts at widening the income tax base proved unsuccessful, in the face of corruption in the
revenue bureaucracy, lack of documentation in the widely diffused informal sector, and
resistance by the rural elite to taxation of agricultural incomes. Under pressure from the
international money lending agencies for meeting interest payments on external debt, the
government started a process of reducing subsidies and moving towards user charges in
utilities. It then resorted to indirect taxation by introducing a high general sales tax, at the rate of
15%, thereby transferring the revenue and fiscal burden on to the poor, since further state
income could not be derived from the better-off through direct taxes. The higher input costs that
both agriculture and industry began to experience made them uncompetitive with economies
like China and India, where producers continued to enjoy substantially subsidized energy rates.
Also, other low income countries, like Bangladesh and Vietnam, threatened to erode Pakistan’s
competitiveness in the staple industry, cotton textiles, especially in the value added segments of
apparel and made-ups. Margins there tended to be higher than in the commoditized yarn and
grey cloth segment, where the bulk of Pakistan’s investment in textiles remained concentrated.
Despite these deep-seated problems, Pakistan’s economy experienced a considerable
turnaround after the September 2001 attacks on the World Trade Centre in New York City. With
the American invasion of Afghanistan and the ensuing campaign against ‘Al Qaeda’, Pakistan
again became a front line state in geopolitical conflict, and an essential ally for meeting western
military objectives. Once again, the economic benefits that it obtained were a pittance of the
strategic contributions that it was called upon to make. It has never been the destination of any
sizeable investment flows from the West, in comparison with the substantial amounts directed
towards first East Asia, then South-east Asia, and more recently India. From 2002, some foreign
assistance was resumed, and the more onerous sanctions were lifted; but the real dynamic
behind the turnaround were the inflows of money from expatriate Pakistanis, in the face of
greater accountability and vigilance over money laundering and the funding of ‘terrorism’
networks. Another source of inflows was the bounty money paid to the Pakistani military for
handing over ‘terrorist’ suspects to be sent to concentration camps and torture facilities, run by
or for the United States. Investment funds have also reached Pakistan from Arab oil economies,

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